Rodney Paul


Rodney J. Paul is a Sports Economist and Professor in the Department of Sport Management at the David B. Falk College of Sport and Human Dynamics.

His research has appeared on Buffalo Sabres Gamenight and, in CFO Magazine, and in various newspaper and radio outlets, including interviews on National Public Radio focused on the NFL labor situation, the Los Angeles Dodgers financial difficulties, and the TV rights to the Olympic Games. He has presented at conferences both nationally and internationally, and his work has been published in The Journal of Sports Economics, International Journal of Sport Finance, Applied Economics, Atlantic Economic Journal, Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Journal of Economics and Finance, among others. He has authored numerous book chapters on sport economics and business.

Dr. Paul serves as the faculty advisor to the Baseball Statistics and Sabermetrics Club at Syracuse University. The club competed in the Diamond Dollars Case Competition in Phoenix, Arizona, in March 2016 and 2017. They also took part in a conference at Columbia in Fall 2016 and 2015. The research work of the club involving the effect of atmospheric conditions on pitchers in Major League Baseball was presented in the poster session of the 2014 MIT/Sloan Sports Analytics Conference and was the focus of the Numbers column in ESPN the Magazine in the July 7, 2014 issue.

Topics addressed in his research include:

  • Market Efficiency
  • Behavioral Biases in Sports Wagering Markets
  • Empirically Modeling Game Attendance
  • Empirically Modeling Television Ratings
  • Uncertainty of Outcome Hypothesis
  • Competitive Balance
  • Prediction Markets in Sports
  • Voting Models of College Sports Polls


Ph.D., Applied Economics, Clemson University, Clemson, SC

M.A., Applied Economics, Clemson University, Clemson, SC

B.S., Mathematics, Lebanon Valley College, Annville, PA

B.A., Economics, Lebanon Valley College, Annville, PA


Economics and finance of sports, specific research in: attendance modeling; modeling of sports television ratings; market efficiency and sports wagering markets; prediction market in sports; impact of violence in sports


SPM 413 - Analyzing Baseball Data with R

SPM 315 - Sport Finance

SPM 300 - Analyzing the Baseball Organization

SPM 300 - Analyzing the Hockey Organization

SPM 213 - Sport Data Analysis I

SPM 365 - Sport Economics

Recent Publications

  • “The Betting Market as a Forecast of Television Ratings for Primetime NFL Football.” (2015) International Journal of Sport Finance, 284-292
  • “Player Absence and Betting Lines in the NBA.” (2015) Finance Review Letters, 13(C), 130-136
  • “Price Adjustments with Dynamic Pricing in Major League Baseball.” (2015), Journal of Law and Economics of Sports
  • “Bettor Habits When Point Spreads and Money lines are Offered on the Same Game: The NFL.” (2015) Journal of Prediction Markets, 8(3), 57-74.
  • "An Exploration of Dynamic Pricing in the National Hockey League" in the soon-to-be-released book “Breaking the Ice: The Economics of Hockey” (Springer - Bernd Frick, editor)
  • “Using Prediction Market Prices to Differentiate Factors that Influence the Highest and Lowest Priced Tickets in Dynamic Pricing for Major League Baseball” in the Journal of Prediction Market