Rodney Paul

Ph.D.
Professor

Dr. Rodney J. Paul is a Sports Economist and Professor in the Department of Sport Management at the David B. Falk College of Sport and Human Dynamics. He also is Director of the department’s Sport Analytics program.

His research has appeared in print, radio, and on online in the United States and abroad on a variety of topics. He has presented at conferences both nationally and internationally, and his work has been published in The Journal of Sports Economics, International Journal of Sport Finance, Applied Economics, Atlantic Economic Journal, Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Journal of Economics and Finance, among others. He has authored numerous book chapters on sport economics and business.

Dr. Paul serves as the faculty advisor to the Baseball Statistics and Sabermetrics Club at Syracuse University. The club annually competes in the Diamond Dollars Case Competition in Phoenix, Arizona, over Spring Break and has done so since 2016. Club members also compete in the Diamond Dollars Case Competition at NYU each November, winning the event in 2017.

Topics addressed in his research include:

  • Market Efficiency
  • Behavioral Biases in Sports Wagering Markets
  • Empirically Modeling Game Attendance
  • Empirically Modeling Television Ratings
  • Uncertainty of Outcome Hypothesis
  • Competitive Balance
  • Prediction Markets in Sports
  • Voting Models of College Sports Polls

Education

Ph.D., Applied Economics, Clemson University, Clemson, SC

M.A., Applied Economics, Clemson University, Clemson, SC

B.S., Mathematics, Lebanon Valley College, Annville, PA

B.A., Economics, Lebanon Valley College, Annville, PA

Specialization

Economics and finance of sports, specific research in: attendance modeling; modeling of sports television ratings; market efficiency and sports wagering markets; prediction market in sports; impact of violence in sports

Courses

SPM 413 - Analyzing Baseball Data with R

SPM 315 - Sport Finance

SPM 300 - Analyzing the Baseball Organization

SPM 300 - Analyzing the Hockey Organization

SAL 213 - Sport Data Analysis I

SAL 495 - Sport Analytics Thesis

Recent Publications

  • “The Betting Market as a Forecast of Television Ratings for Primetime NFL Football.” (2015) International Journal of Sport Finance, 284-292
  • “Player Absence and Betting Lines in the NBA.” (2015) Finance Review Letters, 13(C), 130-136
  • “Price Adjustments with Dynamic Pricing in Major League Baseball.” (2015), Journal of Law and Economics of Sports
  • “Bettor Habits When Point Spreads and Money lines are Offered on the Same Game: The NFL.” (2015) Journal of Prediction Markets, 8(3), 57-74.
  • "An Exploration of Dynamic Pricing in the National Hockey League" in the soon-to-be-released book “Breaking the Ice: The Economics of Hockey” (Springer - Bernd Frick, editor)
  • “Using Prediction Market Prices to Differentiate Factors that Influence the Highest and Lowest Priced Tickets in Dynamic Pricing for Major League Baseball” in the Journal of Prediction Market